Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 72.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.