NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 0
Dungannon

Prendergast (34')
Snoddy (74'), Rogers (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dillon (26'), Owens (53'), Moore (71'), Harpur (88')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 1-3 Glenavon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 1-1 Dungannon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Glenavon in this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
44.71% (0.091999999999999 0.09)25.21% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)30.08% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.04% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.7% (0.089999999999996 0.09)48.3% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (0.081999999999997 0.08)70.45% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (0.078000000000003 0.08)21.61% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (0.12 0.12)54.71% (-0.113 -0.11)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.86% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 44.71%
    Dungannon Swifts 30.08%
    Draw 25.2%
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 44.71%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 30.08%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Dungannon
3-1
Glenavon
Gallagher (1'), Maguire (55'), Lusty (80')
Hegarty (42')
Nesbitt (3')
Campbell (76')
McDonagh (67')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Glenavon
1-1
Dungannon
Fitzpatrick (8')
Smith (81')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Dungannon
2-1
Glenavon
Animasahun (36'), O'Connor (63')
Prendergast (25')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Dungannon
1-0
Glenavon
Campbell (70')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Glenavon
5-0
Dungannon
McCloskey (50'), Bradley (54'), Baird (61'), Fitzpatrick (67'), Prendergast (82')