Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Glenavon in this match.