NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 13

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stangmore Park

Dungannon
1 - 4
Crusaders

Maguire (32')
Owens (42'), Hegarty (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Teelan (53'), Robinson (71'), Kennedy (78'), Smith (90+3')
Joe Burns (77')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions

Last Game: Dungannon 0-0 Larne
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Crusaders

All competitions

Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Ballymena
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Crusaders
17.37% ( -0.37)	20.79% ( -0.04)	61.84% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 54.2% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.93% (

-0.46)

42.07% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.52% (

-0.46)

64.48% (

0.47)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35% (

-0.71)

37.65% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.57% (

-0.7)

74.43% (

0.7)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.92% (

-0.02)

13.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.32% (

-0.05)

39.68% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Dungannon Swifts 17.37%

Crusaders 61.82%

Draw 20.79%

Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.37%	1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.79%	0-2 @ 10.18% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.91% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.51% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 61.82%