NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
0 - 4
Crusaders


Carson (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lowry (14'), Kennedy (81'), Larmour (87'), O'Rourke (90+1')
Kennedy (39'), Anderson (62'), Lowry (84')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coleraine

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 5-0 Coleraine
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Crusaders
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
29.44% (3.415 3.42)25.4% (0.273 0.27)45.16% (-3.688 -3.69)
Both teams to score 54.04% (1.639 1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55% (0.97 0.97)49.45% (-0.969 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (0.865 0.86)71.48% (-0.866 -0.87)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (3.132 3.13)30.82% (-3.132 -3.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (3.533 3.53)67.09% (-3.534 -3.53)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-1.223 -1.22)21.88% (1.222 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (-1.892 -1.89)55.13% (1.891 1.89)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 29.44%
    Crusaders 45.15%
    Draw 25.4%
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.644 0.64)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.579 0.58)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.461 0.46)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.284 0.28)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.359 0.36)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.44%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.271 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.304 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.82 -0.82)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.936 -0.94)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.641 -0.64)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.15%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Crusaders
3-1
Coleraine
Forsythe (52' pen., 77'), Lowry (65')
McCrudden (38' pen.)
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Crusaders
2-0
Coleraine
Heatley (36'), Lecky (86')
Dec 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Coleraine
2-0
Crusaders
Jarvis (12'), McLaughlin (61')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Coleraine
1-2
Crusaders
O'Donnell (39')
Snelgrove (1'), Lowry (14')
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Coleraine
1-4
Crusaders
Carson (90+1')
Carson (34')
Lecky (17'), Heatley (37'), Larmour (42'), Winchester (47')
Heatley (27'), Joe Burns (42')