Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.