Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Loughgall win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Loughgall
53.46% ( -0.26)	24.36% ( 0.17)	22.17% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.25% (

-0.58)

50.74% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36% (

-0.51)

72.64% (

0.51)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08% (

-0.32)

18.92% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58% (

-0.53)

50.42% (

0.53)

Loughgall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.43% (

-0.24)

37.57% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.65% (

-0.23)

74.35% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 53.46%

Loughgall 22.17%

Draw 24.36%

Crusaders	Draw	Loughgall
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.46%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.17%