NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2023 7.45pm
9
0
HT : 5 0
FT Seaview
  • Paul Heatley 11' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 21' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 25' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 28' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 40' goal
  • Philip Lowry 47' goal
  • Billy Joe Burns 54' goal
  • Jimmy Callacher 63' goal
  • Ross Clarke 74' yellowcard
  • James Teelan 79' goal
  • redcard Kyle Cherry 24'
  • yellowcard Joe Crowe 68'
  • yellowcard Joshua Andrews 86'

Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Crusaders 2 - 0 Dungannon
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Ben Kennedy

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
Cliftonville 4 - 0 Carrick
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Dan Purkis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 66.49% (+6.80)
Draw 20.2% (-2.32)
Carrick Rangers 13.31% (-4.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.39% (-3.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.53% (+1.40)
Under 2.5 47.47% (-1.40)
Over 3.5 30.32% (+1.28)
Under 3.5 69.68% (-1.29)
Over 4.5 14.89% (+0.88)
Under 4.5 85.1% (-0.89)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 86.61% (+2.60)
Under 0.5 13.38% (-2.61)
Over 1.5 59.7% (+5.00)
Under 1.5 40.3% (-5.00)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 53.56% (-5.26)
Under 0.5 46.44% (+5.25)
Over 1.5 17.94% (-4.34)
Under 1.5 82.06% (+4.33)

Score analysis

Crusaders 66.47%
Draw 20.2%
Carrick Rangers 13.31%
Crusaders
2-0 @ 12.56% (+1.50)
1-0 @ 12.49% (+0.42)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 8.43% (+1.67)
3-1 @ 6.46% (+0.47)
4-0 @ 4.24% (+1.14)
4-1 @ 3.25% (+0.50)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.19)
5-0 @ 1.7% (+0.57)
5-1 @ 1.31% (+0.30)
4-2 @ 1.25% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 66.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59% (-1.12)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.37)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.66)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.2%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 4.77% (-1.08)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-1.08)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.77)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 13.31%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Ross Clarke 66' goal
  • Jordan Owens 80' goal
  • Declan Caddell 87' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • goal Paul Heatley 10'
  • goal Jordan Forsythe 43'
  • goal Jordan Forsythe 50'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Curtis Allen 5' goal
  • David Cushley 15' goal
  • Curtis Allen 55' goal
  • Emmett McGuckin 65' goal
  • goal Paul Heatley 27'
  • goal Ross Clarke 45'+2'
  • goal Philip Lowry 57'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adam Lecky 59' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 90'+6' goal
  • goal Adam Lecky 63' (OG)
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 28' yellowcard
  • Paul Heatley 56' yellowcard
  • Declan Caddell 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Cushley 51'
  • yellowcard Steven Gordon 57'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 61'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lloyd Anderson 51' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kelly 53' yellowcard
  • David Cushley 55' yellowcard
  • Mark Surgenor 58' yellowcard
  • Jim Ervin 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 29'
  • goal Paul Heatley 69'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 75'