NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
9 - 0
Carrick

Heatley (11'), Kennedy (21', 25' pen., 28', 40'), Lowry (47'), Joe Burns (54'), Callacher (63'), Teelan (79')
Clarke (74')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Crowe (68'), Andrews (86')
Cherry (24')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 4-0 Carrick
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
66.49% (6.793 6.79)20.2% (-2.318 -2.32)13.31% (-4.479 -4.48)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-3.019 -3.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (1.392 1.39)47.47% (-1.396 -1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.32% (1.277 1.28)69.68% (-1.282 -1.28)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (2.597 2.6)13.38% (-2.602 -2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.7% (4.99 4.99)40.3% (-4.995 -5)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.56% (-5.251 -5.25)46.44% (5.247 5.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.94% (-4.334 -4.33)82.06% (4.33 4.33)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 66.47%
    Carrick Rangers 13.31%
    Draw 20.2%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 12.56% (1.5 1.5)
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 8.43% (1.662 1.66)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.463 0.46)
4-0 @ 4.24% (1.136 1.14)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.5 0.5)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.182 -0.18)
5-0 @ 1.7% (0.567 0.57)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.298 0.3)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 66.47%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-1.113 -1.11)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.369 -0.37)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.655 -0.66)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.77% (-1.073 -1.07)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-1.072 -1.07)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.762 -0.76)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.342 -0.34)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.464 -0.46)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.31%

How you voted: Crusaders vs Carrick

Crusaders
100%
Draw
0.0%
Carrick Rangers
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Crusaders
3-0
Carrick
Clarke (66'), Owens (80'), Caddell (87')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Carrick
0-3
Crusaders
Heatley (10'), Forsythe (43', 50')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Carrick
4-3
Crusaders
Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Lecky (59'), Kennedy (90+6')
Lecky (63' og.)
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Crusaders
0-0
Carrick
O'Rourke (28'), Heatley (56'), Caddell (58')
Cushley (51'), Gordon (57'), Cherry (61')