Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.