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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Tehtaan kentta

Haka
2 - 2
Crusaders

Rogerson (33' pen.), Fofana (36')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Forsythe (22'), Clarke (68')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Haka and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haka

All competitions
Last Game: Haka 2-2 Inter Turku
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Glentoran
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
HakaDrawCrusaders
42.32% (0.089999999999996 0.09)25.42% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)32.26% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.138 0.14)48.4% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.124 0.12)70.53% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)
Haka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (0.10300000000001 0.1)22.77% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (0.15199999999999 0.15)56.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)28.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.039000000000001 0.04)64.12% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Haka 42.32%
    Crusaders 32.26%
    Draw 25.42%
HakaDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 42.32%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Haka vs Crusaders

Haka
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Crusaders
25.0%
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