Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Haka had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.