Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Haka had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for IFK Mariehamn in this match.