Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.