Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.