Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.