Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 72.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 9.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.55%) and 3-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.