Europa League
Aug 11, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Bojan Radulovic 10' yellowcard
  • Santeri Hostikka 54' goal
  • David Browne 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Repas 14'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Mitrovic 21'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Antolin 84'
  • yellowcard Sven Karic 90'

HJK Helsinki vs Maribor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 4, 2022 7.15pm
Maribor 0 - 2 HJK Helsinki

Maribor

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 4, 2022 7.15pm
Maribor 0 - 2 HJK Helsinki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result

HJK Helsinki 41.02% (-0.02)
Draw 23.4% (-0.01)
Maribor 35.57% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.51% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.88% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 38.12% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 39.61% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 60.39% (-0.02)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 81% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.44% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.55% (-0.01)

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5 78.41% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.58% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.32% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 54.68% (-0.03)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 41.02%
Draw 23.4%
Maribor 35.57%
HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 41.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 6.65% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.4%
Maribor
1-2 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 35.57%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 4, 2022 7.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Ljudski vrt
  • Nemanja Mitrovic 53' yellowcard
  • Jan Repas 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Browne 37'
  • yellowcard Santeri Vaananen 38'
  • goal David Browne 47'
  • yellowcard Malik Abubakari 60'
  • goal Bojan Radulovic 64'