Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.