Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.