Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.