Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.