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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 14
Jul 16, 2022 at 3pm UK
Sonera Stadium

HJK Helsinki
3 - 1
VPS

Yli-Kokko (19'), Hoskonen (62'), Abubakari (80')
Hazard (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Multanen (39')
Alanko (58'), Hudd (85'), Niemi (90+2')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between HJK Helsinki and Vaasan Palloseura.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RFS 2-1 HJK Helsinki (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: VPS 1-3 Mariehamn
Saturday, July 9 at 3.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawVaasan Palloseura
34.4% (0.235 0.23)24.81% (-0.179 -0.18)40.79% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.08% (0.689 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.91% (0.873 0.87)45.09% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (0.831 0.83)67.44% (-0.828 -0.83)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (0.55200000000001 0.55)25.46% (-0.55 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (0.751 0.75)60.29% (-0.748 -0.75)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (0.352 0.35)22.08% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.58% (0.528 0.53)55.42% (-0.525 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 34.4%
    Vaasan Palloseura 40.79%
    Draw 24.8%
HJK HelsinkiDrawVaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.4%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.42% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.79%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 4pm
VPS
0-1
HJK Helsinki

Ahiabu (50'), Yengi (60'), Vahtera (82')
Tanaka (79')