Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Maribor0 - 2HJK Helsinki
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and HJK Helsinki.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Mariehamn
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | KuPS | 16 | 18 | 36 |
2 | HJK Helsinki | 17 | 10 | 36 |
3 | Honka | 16 | 19 | 33 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maribor | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
45.42% | 27.28% ( -0.01) | 27.3% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.16% ( 0.04) | 57.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.44% ( 0.03) | 78.56% ( -0.03) |
Maribor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( 0.02) | 25.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.79% ( 0.03) | 60.21% ( -0.03) |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.09% ( 0.03) | 36.91% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.3% ( 0.03) | 73.7% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Maribor 45.41%
HJK Helsinki 27.3%
Draw 27.27%
Maribor | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 27.3% |
How you voted: Maribor vs HJK Helsinki
Maribor
51.0%Draw
29.4%HJK Helsinki
19.6%51
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-03-28 10:00:09
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 64 |
2 | Liverpool | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 26 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 63 | 28 | 35 | 63 |
4 | Aston Villa | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 56 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 53 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 47 |
7 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 44 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 42 |
9 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 41 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 40 |
11 | Chelsea | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Fulham | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
13 | Bournemouth | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 35 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 29 |
15 | Brentford | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 26 |
16 | Everton | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 25 |
17 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 22 |
18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 21 |
19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 74 | -50 | 14 |
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