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Europa League

Maribor
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
HJK logo

Maribor
0 - 2
HJK Helsinki


Mitrovic (53'), Repas (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Browne (47'), Radulovic (64')
Browne (37'), Vaananen (38'), Abubakari (60')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Maribor
Tuesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

HJK Helsinki

Last Six:
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Mariehamn
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
MariborDrawHJK Helsinki
45.42%27.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)27.3% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.83% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.44% (0.032 0.03)78.56% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.025999999999996 0.03)60.21% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (0.029000000000003 0.03)36.91% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (0.028000000000002 0.03)73.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 45.41%
    HJK Helsinki 27.3%
    Draw 27.27%
MariborDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.41%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Maribor vs HJK Helsinki

Maribor
51.0%
Draw
29.4%
HJK Helsinki
19.6%
51