MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 10:18:37| >> :600:1004785:1004785:
Maribor
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
HJK logo

Maribor
0 - 2
HJK Helsinki


Mitrovic (53'), Repas (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Browne (47'), Radulovic (64')
Browne (37'), Vaananen (38'), Abubakari (60')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Maribor
Tuesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Mariehamn
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
MariborDrawHJK Helsinki
45.42%27.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.3% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.83% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.44% (0.032 0.03)78.56% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.025999999999996 0.03)60.21% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (0.029000000000003 0.03)36.91% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (0.028000000000002 0.03)73.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 45.41%
    HJK Helsinki 27.3%
    Draw 27.27%
MariborDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.41%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Maribor vs HJK Helsinki

Maribor
51.0%
Draw
29.4%
HJK Helsinki
19.6%
51
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!