Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 15

Jul 23, 2022 at 12pm UK

Tammela Stadium

Ilves
1 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Larsson (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Radulovic (72'), Hoskonen (88')

Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Ilves win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
Ilves	Draw	HJK Helsinki
22.92% ( -0.21)	25.31% ( -0)	51.76% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 48.71% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.28% (

-0.17)

53.72% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.79% (

-0.15)

75.2% (

0.14)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.47% (

-0.3)

38.52% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.73% (

-0.29)

75.27% (

0.28)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

0.02)

20.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.59% (

0.03)

53.41% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Ilves 22.92%

HJK Helsinki 51.76%

Draw 25.31%

Ilves	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.92%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.76%