Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.