Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheriff Tiraspol in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sheriff Tiraspol.