Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol |
| 39.31% | 26.47% | 34.22% |
| Both teams to score 52.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% | 52.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.95% | 74.05% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% | 26.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% | 61.13% |
| Sheriff Tiraspol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% | 29.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% | 64.98% |
| Score Analysis |
Shakhtar Donetsk 39.3%
Sheriff Tiraspol 34.22%
Draw 26.46%
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.22% |
How you voted: Shakhtar vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Shakhtar Donetsk
53.4%Draw
17.6%Sheriff Tiraspol
29.0%193


