Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Haka had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.