Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.