Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Haka had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.