Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 18, 2022 at 5pm UK

Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 0
Silkeborg

(HJK Helsinki win 2-1 on aggregate)

Browne (80')
Radulovic (83'), Tenho (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Calisir (28'), Salquist (61')
Calisir (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HJK Helsinki and Silkeborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Silkeborg

Last Six:

Last Game: Viborg 2-0 Silkeborg
Sunday, August 14 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nordsjaelland	2	4	6
2	Silkeborg	2	2	4
3	Aarhus	2	1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Silkeborg had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Silkeborg win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Silkeborg
41.07% ( 0.21)	24.24% ( 0.07)	34.69% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 60.19% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.62% (

-0.37)

42.37% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.22% (

-0.37)

64.78% (

0.37)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

-0.06)

20.78% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.57% (

-0.09)

53.42% (

0.09)

Silkeborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98% (

-0.33)

24.02% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.72% (

-0.47)

58.28% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 41.07%

Silkeborg 34.69%

Draw 24.24%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Silkeborg
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 41.07%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.69%