Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Silkeborg had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Silkeborg win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.