Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 19
Aug 21, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Wiklof Holding Arena

Mariehamn
1 - 5
Ilves

Owoeri (28')
Cledson (11'), Nissinen (15'), Raitanen (45'), Abubakari (81')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Ollila (2'), Oteng (5'), Ngueukam (33'), Pennanen (44'), Jukkola (76')
Manga (17'), Miettunen (64')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between IFK Mariehamn and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

Last Six:
Last Game: KuPS 1-0 Mariehamn
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Ilves

Last Six:
Last Game: Ilves 0-4 Honka
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
IFK MariehamnDrawIlves
43.44% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)25.33% (0.148 0.15)31.22% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.52 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.63% (-0.666 -0.67)48.37% (0.67 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49% (-0.61 -0.61)70.51% (0.61399999999999 0.61)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.322 -0.32)22.22% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.489 -0.49)55.64% (0.492 0.49)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.372 -0.37)29.04% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (-0.463 -0.46)64.94% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    IFK Mariehamn 43.44%
    Ilves 31.22%
    Draw 25.33%
IFK MariehamnDrawIlves
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.172 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.44%
1-1 @ 12% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.22%

Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1pm
Ilves
1-0
Mariehamn
Pennanen (83')
Pennanen (70')

Baliso (36')
Sep 22, 2021 4.30pm
Ilves
2-0
Mariehamn
Veteli (1'), Ollila (69')
Siira (64'), Loa Loa (72')

Cledson (13'), Baliso (35'), Buwalda (72'), Maenpaa (77')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
Mariehamn
1-0
Ilves
Abubakari (65')
Sep 23, 2020 4.30pm
Mariehamn
0-2
Ilves

Makrillos (86')
Skytta (65', 71')
Miettunen (58'), Siira (87')
Jul 1, 2020 4.30pm
Ilves
4-3
Mariehamn
Ala-Myllymaki (51'), Jair (65'), Fofana (66'), Tamminen (80')
Ala-Myllymaki (46')
Ademi (21'), Fofana (62' og.), Karlstrom (90+1')
Maenpaa (39'), Makrillos (48')