Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.