Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.