Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.