Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.