Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest KuPS win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.