Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.