Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 18
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tammela Stadium

Ilves
0 - 4
Honka


Miettunen (26'), Almen (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aalto (22'), Koski (58'), Bagaric (85'), Kaufmann (90+1' pen.)
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and Honka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VPS 3-0 Ilves
Saturday, August 6 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 1-1 Honka
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawHonka
29.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)26.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)43.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.24% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.4% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (0.026 0.03)75.77% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.048000000000002 0.05)33.31% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (0.054000000000002 0.05)69.93% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Honka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)59.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 29.54%
    Honka 43.82%
    Draw 26.64%
IlvesDrawHonka
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.54%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.05% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.82%

Head to Head
May 20, 2022 4pm
Honka
0-0
Ilves

Rale (62')

Almen (52'), Ngueukam (73'), Katz (75')
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Ilves
0-0
Honka

Arifi (32')

Arko-Mensah (29')
Aug 8, 2021 4.30pm
Honka
4-1
Ilves
Alegria (17', 67'), Pyyhtia (80'), Smith (84')
Koskinen (60')
Almen (90+2')
Miettunen (5'), Arifi (52')
Nov 4, 2020 4.30pm
Ilves
4-1
Honka
Stjopin (27', 41'), Skytta (73'), Veteli (78')
Stjopin (54')
Martin (10')
Hatakka (57'), Savage (76'), Heikkila (82')
Sep 9, 2020 4.30pm
Honka
3-2
Ilves
Kandji (4'), Hervas (75'), Martin (77')
Kaufmann (48')
Fofana (9'), Tomas (53')
Fofana (87')