Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for SJK had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.