Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SJK in this match.