Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.