Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 1
Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves
2 - 3
VPS

Oteng (47'), Meriluoto (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Multanen (56', 58'), Vahtera (69')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and Vaasan Palloseura.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

Last Six:
Last Game: Ilves 1-1 Inter Turku
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Vaasan Palloseura

Last Six:
Last Game: VPS 0-1 KuPS
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawVaasan Palloseura
36.79% (0.026999999999994 0.03)25.43% (0.02 0.02)37.78% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)47.62% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)69.82% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.28% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)60.05% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)24.74% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)59.3% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 36.79%
    Vaasan Palloseura 37.78%
    Draw 25.42%
IlvesDrawVaasan Palloseura
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.78%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 1pm
VPS
3-0
Ilves
Multanen (19' pen.), Pikkarainen (27'), Pahkasalo (37')
Reid (83')

Manga (48'), Ngueukam (61')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Ilves
3-2
VPS
Meriluoto (7'), Almen (45'), Pennanen (49')
Siira (41')
Pitkanen (9', 88')
Vahtera (53'), Backaliden (83')