Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.