Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 37.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.09%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.