Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.