UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK

Åråsen Stadion

Lillestrom
5 - 2
SJK

(Lillestrom win 6-2 on aggregate)

Matthew (23'), Fridjonsson (42', 56', 61'), Rosler (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Laine (31'), Rojas (90+1')
Dunwoody (81')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Lillestrom and SJK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for SJK had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	SJK
48.09% ( 0.01)	22.31% ( 0.02)	29.6% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 64.95% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.84% (

-0.08)

35.16% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.84% (

-0.09)

57.17% (

0.09)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.92% (

-0.02)

15.08% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.39% (

-0.05)

43.61% (

0.06)

SJK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

-0.05)

23.52% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.44% (

-0.07)

57.56% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 48.09%

SJK 29.6%

Draw 22.32%

Lillestrom	Draw	SJK
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.09%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.32%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.6%