Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for SJK had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.