Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Lahti win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.