Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.