Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 3

Oct 2, 2022 at 1pm UK

Tammelan Stadion

Ilves
2 - 3
Mariehamn

Ngueukam (12'), Ollila (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Owoeri (39' pen.), Baliso (54'), Cledson (86')

Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions

Last Game: HIFK 1-5 Ilves
Wednesday, September 28 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions

Last Game: Mariehamn 2-4 Oulu
Wednesday, September 28 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Ilves	Draw	IFK Mariehamn
37.2% ( -0.04)	25.66% ( -0)	37.14% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33% (

0.01)

48.67% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

0.01)

70.78% (

-0.01)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

-0.02)

25.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

-0.02)

60.4% (

0.02)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

0.03)

25.58% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55% (

0.04)

60.45% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Ilves 37.2%

IFK Mariehamn 37.14%

Draw 25.66%

Ilves	Draw	IFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.2%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.14%