Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.