Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.