Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.