Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.